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On Boston’s struggling starting lineup, and why it’s actually good news

Through three games, the Boston Celtics have made a frustrating habit of beginning bouts like drying cement is stuck to the bottoms of their shoes and 75-pound weight vests are fastened around their chests.

It took five minutes for Boston to trail New York 17-9. The deficit would increase to 16 during the second quarter before the smelling salts began to work and Boston seized control in the third, ultimately coming unhinged down the stretch amid a hail storm of Carmelo Anthony.

It took barely more than five minutes for the Celtics to trail Miami 21-11. The Celtics eventually fought back within three by the end of the first quarter, but the Heat blitzed Boston in the second and built a 20-point lead by the third, when announcer Steve Kerr noted that Doc Rivers would be best served resting his starters for the rest of the game. Evidence that Kerr probably shouldn’t be a coach (we already know he shouldn’t be a GM), the Celtics eventually scratched within three points before something called Norris Cole revealed his finishing move.

The Celtics actually started the New Orleans game with a bang, building a 9-2 lead almost instantly. But by the six-minute mark the comatose Celtics had returned — the Hornets seized a 10-9 lead and finished the first quarter ahead 24-18, even without leading scorer Eric Gordon.

Keyon Dooling described the starts as if they were just a result of lacking energy, and perhaps that’s the case.

“Three home road openers, so those teams were all pumped. They were the aggressors initially, and we were on our heels. We have to be the aggressors initially. We’ll get it corrected,” said Dooling, according to the Boston Herald.

But it should also be noted that bad starts are considerably more likely to happen when a team starts a lineup that consistently performs at a sub-standard level. And Boston’s starting five, predictably, has been among the team’s worst units through three games.

Maybe that’s mostly due to energy, like Dooling suggests, and has nothing to do with the fact that Boston starts both Sasha Pavlovic and Jermaine O’Neal, who have combined to score just 20 points in 97 minutes. But I would wager the poor starts are as much a result of the starting lineup as they are a result of any amount of jet lag, partying in South Beach, away court disadvantage or whatever other excuses the Celtics might conjure in their brains.

It’s a small sample size, but Boston’s starting lineup has played 29.07 minutes as a unit this season according to BasketballValue.com– more than double the amount of time the next-most frequently used unit has played — and been outscored by 19.24 points per 100 possessions. Considering that Pavlovic and O’Neal both start, the lineup is predictably low-scoring, pouring in 98.31 points per 100 possessions, a number that would have ranked dead last among NBA offenses last season. The unit also has been surprisingly atrocious defensively, surrendering 117.54 points per 100 possessions, a number that would have been dead last in defensive efficiency last season. The poor defense could be a factor of Boston using a new lineup without much time to develop chemistry during training camp or it could be a result of Boston’s slowing legs (O’Neal looks particularly late on defensive rotations, at least compared to his own lofty standards), but likely it is a combination of both. Oddly enough, it’s not bad news that the starting lineup has been so cringe-worthy.

It seems counter-intuitive, but the fact that Boston’s starting unit has performed so poorly should actually cause optimism among Celtics fans. Whenever Paul Pierce returns from injury, Sasha Pavlovic will inevitably find a one-way ticket to the bench waiting in his locker and the unit that has started Boston’s first three games — and done so with miserable results — should find itself in a Doc Rivers-induced hibernation for at least the foreseeable future.

Breaking up The Pavlovic Five should help the Celtics considerably. It won’t cure all of Boston’s ailments, but it will be a good start.

Related posts:

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  3. Doc Rivers pondering lineup changes
  4. The lineup that helped lose last night’s game
  5. Shaq named starting center

categories Celtics Blog | Jay King | December 30, 2011

3 Responses to “On Boston’s struggling starting lineup, and why it’s actually good news”

  1. paul says:
    December 30, 2011 at 9:19 am

    Wow. What a load of crap. I’ve seen a lot of people talking candy corn and lollipops about the Cs lately, but this really takes the angel-food-cake with double thick icing.

    Look, we are going to be contending with injuries almost all season. Most teams will (George out), but we can expect it more than most. The only good news so far is that the bench has performed surprisingly well. But even with Pierce out and JO barely there, we still supposedly have three of the best players in the league in our starting unit. But with Rondo more interested in perfecting his matador flourishes than with actually playing defense, Garnett treating the paint like a toxic zone, and Ray always having been a relatively limited player for a superstar, WE SUCK.

    I sure hope the team has a team meeting and talks some of this out. They need to figure something out.

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 1

    • paul says:
      December 30, 2011 at 9:22 am

      And yes, I have turned totally around on Rondo. Even an exhausted player at the end of a monstrously hard road trip can show guts, hard work and determination. As far as I can tell, Rondo showed none of that on Wednesday, and the team followed suite. Whether Rondo accepts the role or not, HE IS CLEARLY THIS TEAM’S LEADER. He really has been for a long time now, but it’s more that way than ever. I swear, I wonder if he’s already hurt and we just don’t know about it.

      Like or Dislike: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0

  2. James says:
    December 30, 2011 at 12:50 pm

    This is b.s. and Jay you should instead be ripping the Cs a major new one. Let’s start with the comment “lacking energy”. WTF??? In the 3rd game after resting during a longer than usual summer period? Come-on, that’s the biggest load of crap since we sing Pavlovic again. When I was 40 I played ball at the Sports Club LA 4-5 days a week for hrs on end. No energy? Hell no, I had plenty and looked forward to each and every game (I also boxed and rebounded, which the Cs apparently have forgotten big-time how to do). Next up is the defense. So the 4 starters last year and Pavlovic, who can’t defend but was also there last year, can’t by in sync or aren’t??? HOW ABOUT STAYING IN FRONT OF AND WITH YOUR MAN AT ALL F’IN TIMES???How hard is that? Apparently, the ‘lack of energy’ is preventing grade school defense tactics, rebounding (better this year but giving up way too many offensive boards and then not getting hardly any themselves), and settling for jump shots instead of driving to the hole (check KG’s FT #s, etc.). This all falls on the players but also on Doc and frankly, as I have said for the last couple of years, he is a very mediocre coach. Can draw up a great play and be everyone’s ‘friend’ but there’s so much more to coaching and frankly you Jay could coach these guys better and I have no idea what you coaching skills are (comment based on knowledge of hoops). Frustrating is the word because RR doesn’t show up when needed, KG isn’t anywhere near the basket on offense, and until the last game none of the subs/young players were being used. Shots will be missed, games will be lost but it’s the effort and hustle shown and giving 100% nightly just hasn’t happened yet. I’d rather see effort and a loss than this seemingly uncaring, lackadaisical approach we’ve seen so far. And just think, only 4.99 more years of Doc. Wake up, get pissed and some some f’in heart Celtics. Go Cs…

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