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What Kevin Garnett’s new deal means

The Boston Celtics signed the NBA’s top free agent big man on Saturday.

The Kevin Garnett era could have ended with his retirement, but instead it continues for three years valued at a reported $34 million. Depending on the amount of guaranteed seasons on Garnett’s new contract, the Celtics could pay him more than $11 million in 2014-15 when he will be 39 years old. The prospect sounds murky until one remembers just how magnificently Garnett played from the All-Star break through Game 7 against the Miami Heat, and the fact that he’s one of the NBA’s best-conditioned athletes on a yearly basis. It’s still a risk given how many miles for which Garnett has ridden during his career, but Garnett is one of few players who could possibly deserve being paid $11 million to play basketball one year before age 40. Seriously, look at pictures of Da Kid as a youngster with the Minnesota Timberwolves and as a 36-year old with the Boston Celtics. He has added a few pounds of muscle since his rookie year, but his body has changed a ridiculously small amount considering he’s been in the league for 17 seasons.

In a vacuum, the Garnett signing is great. He was the single best big man in the NBA playoffs and he’s returning to the Celtics for three years at DeAndre Jordan money. There’s sure to be at least some level of slippage between now and the time Garnett’s new deal expires, but we can be sure he’s fully dedicated to maximizing the final few years of his career, just as he has been fully dedicated to maximizing every year of his career. He also doesn’t seem like the type to hang on past the time when he feels like he can still contribute to his expectations. If Garnett stops playing at an All-Star level at any point during his three-year deal, he’ll probably just retire.

Garnett’s the best sensei Jared Sullinger and Fab Melo could ever hope for (though Patrick O’Bryant raises his hand to politely remind us that he doesn’t have a 100 percent success rate with his young projects), and — judging by his absurd playoff run (not to mention his entire Hall of Fame career) — he’s far more than that. He’s still one of the NBA’s five best defenders, one of its top midrange jump shooters and he can still succeed in the post especially when he has the right matchup. According to Basketball Value, the Celtics were 35.1 points per 100 possessions better with KG on the court during the NBA playoffs. Losing him would have been devastating to Boston’s chances of fielding a roster than can compete for anything worthwhile. Keeping him almost definitely ensures that the Celtics will take another shot at a championship, regardless of how successful you or I think that shot might be.

The Celtics’ rebuilding process still hasn’t begun. Some people would argue they should have cut ties with Garnett, traded Paul Pierce (and the last two years of his contract) for some young pieces, freed all their potential cap space and started to build around Rajon Rondo. That perspective has some merit. But with the free agency class presenting slim pickings, the “rebuild now” path would have led the Celtics to at least one or two seasons of mediocrity and irrelevance. Regardless of how you feel about Boston’s chances next season, the Celtics are now far from irrelevant. The same team that came within 10 minutes of reaching the NBA Finals (and gave Miami significantly more fits than any other squad) might return next season noticeably better, at least from a talent standpoint.

The Celtics have a core of Garnett, Pierce, Rondo and Avery Bradley already in place. Jared Sullinger and/or Fab Melo might contribute (Sullinger’s the better bet). The C’s still have the rights to several free agents, including Ray Allen, Jeff Green and Brandon Bass, who would all fetch interest in sign-and-trade deals if the Celtics can’t (or decide not to) retain them. And the Celtics also have the option of renouncing the rights to their free agents (including the aforementioned trio, Greg Stiemsma and Nenad Krstic, to whom they still own Bird rights) and opening $13 million in cap room to be used how they see fit. Put more simply, Danny Ainge has assets and flexibility like he didn’t have last offseason, when he still managed to build a team that overcame four season-ending surgeries to reach Game 7 of the Eastern Conference Finals.

John Hollinger suggests that the Celtics might re-sign Green and Bass to market-value deals, match Stiemsma’s offer sheet (if any team extends him one) and still have a low enough payroll to make a serious run at a quality free agent (maybe O.J. Mayo) using the full mid-level exception. The Celtics could also re-sign Green, Bass AND Allen (which would likely take away their opportunity to use the full mid-level) and still have the mini mid-level to sign a veteran who would fit nicely. That would give the Celtics a top 10 of Rondo, Bradley, Pierce, Bass, Garnett, Allen, Green, Stiemsma, Sullinger and MMLE Free Agent X. Impressive, at least on paper. And remember, the C’s almost qualified for the Finals last season with a disabled Ray Allen in the starting lineup and a bench that mustered just one point combined in the final game of Boston’s season.

Aging and injuries could always arise as issues (although Garnett seemed to age backwards last season) and Derrick Rose will return to the Chicago Bulls at some point next season, so the Celtics are far from a lock to be one of the final four teams standing in the NBA playoffs again next season. But with Garnett’s return, we are assured the Celtics’ goals are again focused on the now as well as the later. Ainge will surely look to remain cap flexibility for the future (look for most of Garnett’s third year to be non-guaranteed so the Celtics can clear cap space for the summer of 2014 when Pierce’s contract expires), but he’s also interested in shaping a roster that can compete to knock the Heat from their current perch as Eastern Conference (and NBA) champions.

The Celtics’ three-year window has already become a five-year window, and Garnett’s new deal threatens to keep that window cracked for at least another year or two.

At the very least, that’s Ainge’s plan.

Related posts:

  1. Ray Allen wants multi-year deal from Boston Celtics
  2. Kevin Garnett not retiring, reportedly signs a three-year deal
  3. Kevin Garnett wants Greg Stiemsma rewarded with a long-term deal
  4. Mike Miller willing to sign mid-level deal
  5. Did Kevin Garnett and Paul Pierce crush an NBA labor deal?

categories Celtics Blog | Jay King | June 30, 2012

10 Responses to “What Kevin Garnett’s new deal means”

  1. James says:
    June 30, 2012 at 5:52 pm

    When I was playing at 36-39 yrs of age some would argue I was slower, older and my skills were diminishing, but I believe I was a better player than when I was 25. I played with and against very good players at the Sports Club LA (including Dunleavy when he coached the Lakers) and held my own against younger players because I was a smarter player. This is where KG is at now. He’s not going to put up 35 and get 20 rebs, but he can be a dbl-dbl player easily. He’s still in killer shape and I believe will play well at this level until the end of his new deal, barring injury. I played competitive ball until I was 44 and then was forced outside as entrepreneur hell happened. I still play at 58 and look forward to getting back indoors to see how I fare, whereas KG is looking at 3 more title runs. A great day for all Celtics fans! Go Cs…

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 2 Thumb down 0

  2. Frank says:
    June 30, 2012 at 6:18 pm

    Hey James, that’s great that you still compete at any level. I’m 48 and haven’t shot a ball in 8 years. You’re post is right on…. When George Foreman became champion for his 2nd in his forties he said he was a better fighter in his forties then his twenties. It was knowledge, if you watch him fight as an old man you see things he never did as a young fighter. Smarter things. Good job James

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0

    • James says:
      July 1, 2012 at 1:48 am

      Get back out there. I went and shot a 100 FTs, about another 100 jumpers and even ran a suicide this afternoon. I hope to play until they drag me off the court. The beauty of hoops is all it takes is a ball, a hoop (with a net!) and desire. Trust me, you’ll be glad if you get out and just shoot around. Exercise is exercise and schools are free. Go Cs…

      Like or Dislike: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0

  3. Myles says:
    June 30, 2012 at 6:29 pm

    I know that it’s improbable that we bring back Walter, but if anybodies body can play into their 40s it’s Ray Ray provided the surgeries fixed the problems for good. We have two of the biggest maniacs of keeping their bodies in tip-top shape in KG and Ray. Let’s not forget that Ray is an extremely classy individual and I genuinely believe he loves being a Celtic, sure he told Doc he wasn’t happy about coming off the bench last year after injury but he didn’t make a big fuss, and let’s be honest, who wouldn’t have their pride hurt a little. But he has to understand that he wont be starting anywhere else for a title contender and the Celtics can offer him as much money as anyone else and legacy. As far as I’m concerned all of the Big 3′s jerseys should be retired and imagining the big 3 walking out into the proverbial sunset in two-three years is just too good.

    The Celtics may have a better long-term choice in OJ Mayo, but Ray could be the sixth man of the year next year. Keep the band together.

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0

    • James says:
      July 1, 2012 at 1:52 am

      I hope RA decides to stay as he’s a better fit than Mayo. Let’s hope DA was on the phone to him about 2 hrs ago! Go Cs…

      Like or Dislike: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0

  4. charlie says:
    June 30, 2012 at 8:50 pm

    The only little drawback (and I guess it isn’t important) is that I can’t see the Celtics changing very much while KG is still there and we have to continue to grow. Maybe free agency will let us land a proven pro.

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0

  5. CPUFC says:
    July 1, 2012 at 12:52 am

    Garnett has chosen the right choice. His home is the Celtics and the place where he captured championship glory. What better player to have on your squad as an elder statesman for the young bunch. Much respect KG…

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0

  6. Morey says:
    July 1, 2012 at 3:28 am

    This is the most exited I have been as a celtic fan in twenty years. Your not looking at 15 players, your looking at btw 6 and 9 or 10

    here is the roster I think so far..Now they have Rondo, Bradley,
    Pierce, garnett..
    that’s 4..GREAT PLAYERS

    Sullinger and Fab probably too, but Sallinger I think he will impact, even if not he will crack top 7-9 on rotation, so that is 5

    A free agent and Jeff Green are 6 & 7
    The Key* Brandon Bass who I like….***all three could be 6th man of the year including sullenger, that is 8

    these guys on the fence

    Pietrus, Mickael
    Allen, Ray
    Bass, Brandon
    Dooling, Keyon
    Joseph, Kris
    Williams, Sean
    Hollins, Ryan
    two of these guys can play
    Michael and Dooling and both want back in boston
    that is 10 solid players

    even if allen goes, if he stays wow

    0
    Bradley, Avery
    G
    2
    Texas
    6-2
    180

    5
    Garnett, Kevin
    F-C
    17
    None
    6-11
    253

    12
    Johnson, JaJuan
    PF
    1
    Purdue
    6-10
    221

    2
    Melo, Fab
    C
    R
    Syracuse
    7-0
    274

    55
    Moore, E’Twaun
    G
    1
    Purdue
    6-4
    191

    34
    Pierce, Paul
    SF
    14
    Kansas
    6-7
    231

    9
    Rondo, Rajon
    PG
    6
    Kentucky
    6-1
    186

    54
    Stiemsma, Greg
    C
    1
    Wisconsin
    6-11
    260

    1
    Sullinger, Jared
    PF
    R
    Ohio State
    6-9
    280

    Trade or free agent

    Jeff green

    Head Coach: Doc Rivers

    28
    Pietrus, Mickael
    G-F
    9
    None
    6-6
    215

    20
    Allen, Ray
    SG
    16
    Connecticut
    6-5
    206

    30
    Bass, Brandon
    F-C
    7
    LSU
    6-8
    250

    51
    Dooling, Keyon
    G
    12
    Missouri
    6-3
    195

    3
    Joseph, Kris
    F
    R
    Syracuse
    6-7
    210

    56
    Williams, Sean
    F-C
    4
    Boston College
    6-10
    235

    50
    Hollins, Ryan
    C
    6
    UCLA
    7-0
    240

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 1 Thumb down 0

    • CPUFC says:
      July 1, 2012 at 8:35 am

      That would have been a lot of typing man. Thumbs up for the passion. Looks like a good squad for next year. Wonder if DA is holding an Ace up his sleeve…

      Like or Dislike: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0

  7. Lefsaman says:
    July 1, 2012 at 11:56 am

    All the celtic bigs better polish the apples. KG the headmaster is back in beantown and they better pay attention.

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0

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